The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Mississippi St Bulldogs v Tennessee Volunteers

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 69.21%1.44fair odd
EV -4.48%
Edge -3.25%
Kelly -11.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.65%69.51%69.20%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.351.351.3875.76%74.22%74.07%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tennessee Volunteers (Visit)

Prediction 30.79%3.25fair odd
EV +1.59%
Edge +0.482%
Kelly +0.692%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%30.49%30.80%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.073.033.3033.33%32.56%33.00%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local): 69.21%; Tennessee Volunteers (Visit): 30.79%. For Tennessee Volunteers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.64%E -6.54%K -26.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +1.59%E +0.482%K +0.692%G +0.011%6.1%2026-04-11 19:20
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.94%E -5.97%K -24.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.49%E -0.465%K -0.676%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 19:30
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -8.64%E -6.54%K -26.99%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -2.10%E -0.661%K -0.964%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 19:25
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.57%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 08:23
MyBookie.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.25%E -5.41%K -21.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.57%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 22:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.94%E -5.97%K -24.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.57%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.94%E -5.97%K -24.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.57%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 19:39
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.94%E -5.97%K -24.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.57%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 19:40
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.94%E -5.97%K -24.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.57%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 19:40
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.18%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%EV -6.72%E -2.22%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 19:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -7.03%E -2.33%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -7.03%E -2.33%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:35
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 03:00
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.87%E -4.31%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 04:18
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.87%E -4.31%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 04:20
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.87%E -4.31%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 05:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.87%E -4.31%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 05:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.87%E -4.31%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 05:15
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.94%E -5.97%K -24.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 21:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.35I 74.07%NM 70.59%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%4.9%2026-04-11 22:35