Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mississippi St Bulldogs v Missouri Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 14:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 82.62%1.21fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -3.58%
Kelly -25.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.13%82.44%82.69%83.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.141.141.1689.29%87.80%87.72%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Missouri Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 17.38%5.75fair odd
EV +3.91%
Edge +0.654%
Kelly +0.786%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 5.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.01%17.56%17.31%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.375.455.9820.41%18.63%18.37%16.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local): 82.62%; Missouri Tigers (Visit): 17.38%. For Missouri Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.99%EV -5.81%E -5.10%K -41.50%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 16.01%EV +3.91%E +0.654%K +0.786%G +0.031%4.4%2026-05-20 14:09
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.81%E -5.10%K -41.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.084%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 14:09
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.81%E -5.10%K -41.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.43%E -0.805%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 13:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.81%E -5.10%K -41.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.43%E -0.805%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 13:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.81%E -5.10%K -41.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.43%E -0.805%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 13:19
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.81%E -5.10%K -41.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.43%E -0.805%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 13:59
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.43%E -0.805%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 13:59
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.43%E -0.805%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 13:59
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.43%E -0.805%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 13:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.54%EV -5.81%E -5.10%K -41.50%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.46%EV -6.34%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 14:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.54%EV -5.81%E -5.10%K -41.50%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.46%EV -6.34%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 14:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.77%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 13:59
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.77%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 14:19
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.81%E -5.10%K -41.50%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.64%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 14:10
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.16%E -3.58%K -25.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.12%E -2.62%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 00:40
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.12%E -2.62%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 12:49
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.12%E -2.62%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 13:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -5.81%E -5.10%K -41.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -14.85%E -3.03%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 13:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.