Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mississippi St Bulldogs v Lipscomb Bisons

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 88.89%1.12fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -3.70%
Kelly -49.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.72%89.07%88.77%91.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.051.061.0898.04%94.95%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lipscomb Bisons (Visit)

Prediction 11.11%9.00fair odd
EV +26.62%
Edge +2.33%
Kelly +2.56%
Growth +0.681%

assuming max odds 11.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.36%10.93%11.23%12.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.828.5011.4013.33%11.34%11.76%8.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local): 88.89%; Lipscomb Bisons (Visit): 11.11%. For Lipscomb Bisons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.00. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +26.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.64%EV -7.55%E -7.26%K -188.77%G +0.000%11.40I 8.77%NM 8.36%EV +26.62%E +2.33%K +2.56%G +0.681%4.9%2026-05-29 15:19
theScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.44%E -8.19%K -281.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +11.07%E +1.11%K +1.23%G +0.136%7.1%2026-05-29 17:50
Bally Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -9.33%E -9.15%K -466.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +11.07%E +1.11%K +1.23%G +0.136%8.0%2026-05-29 15:58
betPARX🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -9.33%E -9.15%K -466.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +11.07%E +1.11%K +1.23%G +0.136%8.0%2026-05-29 15:59
BetRivers🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -9.33%E -9.15%K -466.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +11.07%E +1.11%K +1.23%G +0.136%8.0%2026-05-29 15:59
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.23%EV -6.66%E -6.34%K -133.24%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV +7.73%E +0.797%K +0.889%G +0.069%5.5%2026-05-26 21:38
Bovada🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.66%E -6.34%K -133.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -0.040%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 21:19
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.00%E -3.70%K -49.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.59%E -0.658%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 12:50
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.88%E -4.56%K -69.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.59%E -0.658%K -0.746%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.77%E -5.45%K -96.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.59%E -0.658%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 13:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.79%EV -5.77%E -5.45%K -96.22%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV -6.70%E -0.798%K -0.906%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 22:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.37%EV -4.88%E -4.56%K -69.77%G +0.000%8.13I 12.30%NM 11.63%EV -9.70%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 19:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.37%EV -4.88%E -4.56%K -69.77%G +0.000%8.13I 12.30%NM 11.63%EV -9.70%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 20:05
Pinnacle🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.23%EV -4.88%E -4.56%K -69.77%G +0.000%8.02I 12.47%NM 11.77%EV -10.92%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 21:50
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.77%E -5.45%K -96.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.15%E -1.39%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 16:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.77%E -5.45%K -96.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.15%E -1.39%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 16:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.77%E -5.45%K -96.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.15%E -1.39%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 16:09
BetUS🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -4.88%E -4.56%K -69.77%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -13.92%E -1.80%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 15:49
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -6.66%E -6.34%K -133.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -16.70%E -2.23%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-29 08:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 86.11%6.45I 15.50%NM 13.89%11.7%2026-05-29 17:09