Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mississippi St Bulldogs v Georgia Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 68.85%1.45fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -3.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.35%68.74%68.81%71.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.361.4376.92%73.50%73.53%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgia Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 31.15%3.21fair odd
EV -0.314%
Edge -0.098%
Kelly -0.143%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.89%31.26%31.19%33.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.003.003.2035.71%33.32%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local): 68.85%; Georgia Bulldogs (Visit): 31.15%. For Georgia Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -0.314%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.55%E -1.08%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -11.22%E -3.94%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.24%E -1.57%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -12.77%E -4.56%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 15:50
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -12.77%E -4.56%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 15:54
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.77%E -4.56%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 16:29
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 15:55
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 23:25
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 02:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 02:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 02:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 17:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.74%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.26%EV -6.86%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 20:54
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -7.17%E -2.41%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 15:45
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -0.314%E -0.098%K -0.143%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 20:50
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 22:19
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -34.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.314%E -0.098%K -0.143%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 20:45
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -34.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.314%E -0.098%K -0.143%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 20:45
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -34.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.314%E -0.098%K -0.143%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 20:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%5.1%2026-04-02 22:14