Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mississippi St Bulldogs v Georgia Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 66.39%1.51fair odd
EV -0.417%
Edge -0.278%
Kelly -0.834%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%65.71%66.35%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.431.421.5072.46%70.01%70.42%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgia Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 33.61%2.98fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.872%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%34.29%33.65%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.732.752.9040.00%36.65%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local): 66.39%; Georgia Bulldogs (Visit): 33.61%. For Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.50, with an expected value of -0.417%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -0.417%E -0.278%K -0.834%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -14.96%E -5.91%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -0.417%E -0.278%K -0.834%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -14.96%E -5.91%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 16:15
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.417%E -0.278%K -0.834%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -15.97%E -6.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 15:50
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.417%E -0.278%K -0.834%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -15.97%E -6.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 16:59
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.40%E -3.06%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.93%E -4.12%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 20:25
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.21%E -1.48%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 17:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.73%E -4.03%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 17:05
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.73%E -4.03%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 20:15
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.73%E -4.03%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 17:08
MyBookie.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.39%E -4.53%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 20:18
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.06%E -5.04%K -17.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.53%E -0.872%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 20:15
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.06%E -5.04%K -17.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 20:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.06%E -5.04%K -17.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 20:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.06%E -5.04%K -17.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 20:10
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.38%E -6.07%K -22.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -4.21%E -1.48%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 20:10
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.38%E -6.07%K -22.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -4.21%E -1.48%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 20:10
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.38%E -6.07%K -22.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -4.21%E -1.48%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 20:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%5.2%2026-04-03 22:35