Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mississippi St Bulldogs v Austin Peay Governors

Kickoff: 2026-02-24 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

77%

23%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 77.38%1.29fair odd

EV -5.60%

Edge -4.59%

Kelly -25.46%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

75.65%77.51%77.07%79.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.181.211.211.2284.75%82.99%82.99%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Austin Peay Governors (Visit)

Prediction 22.62%4.42fair odd

EV +1.81%

Edge +0.403%

Kelly +0.518%

Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.77%22.49%22.93%24.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.764.194.154.5026.60%23.87%24.10%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local): 77.38%; Austin Peay Governors (Visit): 22.62%. For Austin Peay Governors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
888sport🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.75%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.81%E +0.403%K +0.518%G +0.009%	5.6%	2026-02-24 20:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.75%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.81%E +0.403%K +0.518%G +0.009%	5.6%	2026-02-24 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.75%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.81%E +0.403%K +0.518%G +0.009%	5.6%	2026-02-24 20:30
Bovada🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.70%E -7.37%K -48.32%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.81%E +0.403%K +0.518%G +0.009%	7.0%	2026-02-24 17:49
FanDuel🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.38%E -5.27%K -30.36%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -2.71%E -0.631%K -0.822%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-02-24 17:40
theScore Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.75%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.98%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-02-24 17:40
BetUS🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.75%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.98%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-02-24 17:30
DraftKings🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.60%E -4.59%K -25.46%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.24%E -1.77%K -2.33%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-02-24 16:20
BetMGM🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.60%E -4.59%K -25.46%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.24%E -1.77%K -2.33%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-02-24 17:35
BetRivers🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.38%E -5.27%K -30.36%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-02-24 17:34
Bally Bet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.38%E -5.27%K -30.36%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-02-24 17:35
betPARX🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.38%E -5.27%K -30.36%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-02-24 17:35
Betway🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.75%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-02-24 17:40
1xBet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 75.65%EV -6.38%E -5.27%K -30.36%G +0.000%	3.76I 26.60%NM 24.35%EV -14.93%E -3.97%K -5.41%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-02-24 18:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.