The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Mississippi St Bulldogs v Auburn Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 57.32%1.74fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -4.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.87%57.35%57.03%58.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.621.6963.69%61.23%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Auburn Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 42.68%2.34fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%42.65%42.97%44.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.202.202.2646.73%45.44%45.45%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local): 57.32%; Auburn Tigers (Visit): 42.68%. For Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.69, with an expected value of -3.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -8.67%E -4.05%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 17:39
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 22:00
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:04
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 23:05
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 17:41
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 21:58
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 23:54
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -3.55%E -1.57%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 17:44
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 15:29
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -5.68%E -2.57%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 18:14
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 23:39
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 17:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 17:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 17:29
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.01%E -6.37%K -17.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 14:04
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.01%E -6.37%K -17.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 14:05
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.01%E -6.37%K -17.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 14:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-05-09 00:19