Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Golden Gophers v Nebraska Cornhuskers

Kickoff: 2026-05-14 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local)

Prediction 41.16%2.43fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%41.12%41.14%42.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.272.252.3545.45%44.00%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nebraska Cornhuskers (Visit)

Prediction 58.84%1.70fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -5.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.74%58.88%58.86%59.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.601.611.6463.69%62.42%62.11%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local): 41.16%; Nebraska Cornhuskers (Visit): 58.84%. For Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -3.28%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.28%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.62%E -4.85%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 16:55
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.28%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.62%E -4.85%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 18:00
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 18:24
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 18:31
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.85%E -3.66%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:00
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -5.75%E -2.51%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -3.50%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 16:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -6.57%E -2.90%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 17:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 15:20
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 16:05
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.62%E -4.85%K -13.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 17:15
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.62%E -4.85%K -13.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 17:15
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.62%E -4.85%K -13.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -7.81%E -3.49%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -7.81%E -3.49%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 16:05
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.45%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%6.6%2026-05-14 18:45