Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Golden Gophers v Milwaukee Panthers

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

79%

21%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local)

Prediction 79.15%1.26fair odd

EV -4.23%

Edge -3.50%

Kelly -20.16%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

77.43%79.15%79.45%79.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.171.191.191.2185.47%84.18%84.03%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 20.85%4.80fair odd

EV -4.07%

Edge -0.885%

Kelly -1.13%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.28%20.85%20.55%22.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.154.394.364.6024.10%22.77%22.94%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local): 79.15%; Milwaukee Panthers (Visit): 20.85%. For Milwaukee Panthers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.60, with an expected value of -4.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Bovada🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -4.23%E -3.50%K -20.16%G +0.000%	4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -13.46%E -3.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-03 21:19
FanDuel🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.82%E -4.89%K -30.61%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.07%E -0.885%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-03 21:15
1xBet🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 78.56%EV -5.82%E -4.89%K -30.61%G +0.000%	4.36I 22.94%NM 21.44%EV -9.08%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-03 23:15
Betway🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.71%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -11.37%E -2.68%K -3.50%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-03-03 21:15
theScore Bet🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.40%E -6.32%K -43.52%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.07%E -0.885%K -1.13%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-03 21:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.