The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Minnesota Golden Gophers v Gonzaga Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local)

Prediction 76.22%1.31fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -11.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.45%76.14%76.33%77.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.231.221.2782.64%81.63%81.97%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 23.78%4.21fair odd
EV -0.123%
Edge -0.029%
Kelly -0.038%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.51%23.86%23.67%25.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.933.984.2027.03%25.46%25.16%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local): 76.22%; Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit): 23.78%. For Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -0.123%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.20%E -2.52%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -12.01%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 16:45
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.49%E -4.43%K -22.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.26%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 17:00
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.30%EV -5.49%E -4.43%K -22.86%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.70%EV -10.11%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 21:40
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.01%E -5.75%K -31.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.123%E -0.029%K -0.038%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 21:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -7.01%E -5.75%K -31.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.07%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 21:44
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.01%E -5.75%K -31.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.82%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-11 17:05
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -7.77%E -6.42%K -37.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.88%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 17:05
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -7.77%E -6.42%K -37.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.88%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 20:30
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -7.77%E -6.42%K -37.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.88%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 20:30
betPARX🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -7.77%E -6.42%K -37.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.88%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 20:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.24I 80.65%NM 76.65%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.35%5.2%2026-03-11 22:54