Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Panthers v UCF Knights

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

18%

82%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Panthers (Local)

Prediction 17.75%5.63fair odd

EV +4.02%

Edge +0.686%

Kelly +0.828%

Growth +0.033%

assuming max odds 5.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

16.29%17.73%17.73%18.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.005.405.505.8620.00%18.53%18.18%17.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UCF Knights (Visit)

Prediction 82.25%1.22fair odd

EV -3.77%

Edge -3.22%

Kelly -22.17%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

81.17%82.27%82.27%83.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.121.141.141.1789.29%87.88%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Panthers (Local): 17.75%; UCF Knights (Visit): 82.25%. For Milwaukee Panthers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.63. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	5.86I 17.06%NM 16.29%EV +4.02%E +0.686%K +0.828%G +0.033%	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.71%EV -6.24%E -5.47%K -44.55%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-30 23:49
FanDuel🎯	5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +1.18%E +0.207%K +0.252%G +0.003%	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.06%E -6.25%K -54.30%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-31 00:00
BetMGM🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.37%E -0.430%K -0.526%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.24%E -5.47%K -44.55%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-31 00:00
888sport🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.37%E -0.430%K -0.526%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.24%E -5.47%K -44.55%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-30 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.37%E -0.430%K -0.526%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.24%E -5.47%K -44.55%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-30 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.37%E -0.430%K -0.526%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.24%E -5.47%K -44.55%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-30 23:59
BetRivers🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -2.37%E -0.430%K -0.526%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.88%E -7.04%K -65.68%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-31 00:00
betPARX🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -2.37%E -0.430%K -0.526%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.88%E -7.04%K -65.68%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-31 00:00
Bally Bet🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -2.37%E -0.430%K -0.526%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.88%E -7.04%K -65.68%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-31 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -5.92%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.41%E -4.71%K -36.09%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-31 00:00
Caesars🎯	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -7.69%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.77%E -3.22%K -22.17%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-30 23:58
DraftKings🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.59%E -3.96%K -28.70%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-31 00:00
theScore Bet🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.24%E -5.47%K -44.55%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-05-30 23:59
Betway🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.88%E -7.04%K -65.68%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-05-30 23:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.