The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Michigan Wolverines v Oregon Ducks

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Prediction 28.37%3.52fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%28.83%28.42%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.203.4033.33%31.27%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 71.63%1.40fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -5.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.65%71.17%71.58%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.321.311.3776.92%75.76%76.34%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 28.37%; Oregon Ducks (Visit): 71.63%. For Oregon Ducks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.40. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.37, with an expected value of -1.87%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.17%E -4.71%K -19.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-02 17:35
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.88%E -5.30%K -22.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 17:39
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.17%E -4.71%K -19.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 17:40
MyBookie.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.45%E -4.13%K -17.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 17:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -6.17%E -4.71%K -19.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 17:39
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.88%E -5.30%K -22.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 16:40
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.88%E -5.30%K -22.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 16:39
Bally Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.88%E -5.30%K -22.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 16:39
1xBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -12.61%E -4.09%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -4.02%E -3.00%K -11.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 16:45
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -14.88%E -4.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -1.87%E -1.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 19:44
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.88%E -4.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.59%E -1.90%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 03:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.