The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Michigan Wolverines v Oregon Ducks

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Prediction 37.73%2.65fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.13%38.00%37.50%39.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.442.422.5542.55%40.94%41.24%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 62.27%1.61fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -6.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.36%62.00%62.50%62.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.521.531.5566.67%65.79%65.36%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 37.73%; Oregon Ducks (Visit): 62.27%. For Oregon Ducks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.55, with an expected value of -3.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.09%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 17:54
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.16%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -4.54%E -1.79%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 17:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -4.54%E -1.79%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 17:34
FanDuel🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -4.91%E -1.95%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -5.98%E -3.96%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 19:19
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.67%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 19:15
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.67%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 18:00
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.67%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 17:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.56%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.73%E -3.09%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 19:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.73%E -3.09%K -8.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 19:55
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 19:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.20%E -4.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.73%E -3.09%K -8.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 18:00
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.20%E -4.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.73%E -3.09%K -8.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.20%E -4.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.73%E -3.09%K -8.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 17:55
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -10.95%E -4.64%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -3.49%E -2.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 19:25
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.33%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.11%E -2.67%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 16:40
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.33%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.11%E -2.67%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 16:40
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.33%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.11%E -2.67%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%5.6%2026-04-03 19:19