The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Michigan Wolverines v Ohio State Buckeyes

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Prediction 56.03%1.78fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -5.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.44%56.22%55.99%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.671.671.7261.35%59.79%59.70%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit)

Prediction 43.97%2.27fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%43.78%44.01%44.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.152.152.2047.62%46.54%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 56.03%; Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit): 43.97%. For Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -3.28%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.62%E -2.11%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.91%E -2.76%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 16:15
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.30%E -3.14%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.47%E -2.55%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 05:10
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.30%E -3.14%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.47%E -2.55%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 06:43
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.30%E -3.14%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.47%E -2.55%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 13:15
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.30%E -3.14%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -5.91%E -2.76%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 04:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.30%E -3.14%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.35%E -2.98%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 12:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.30%E -3.14%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.35%E -2.98%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 12:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.86%E -3.49%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.03%E -2.33%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 16:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.42%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.47%E -2.55%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 11:20
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.42%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.47%E -2.55%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 11:55
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.42%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.47%E -2.55%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 12:04
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.42%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 08:54
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.54%E -4.57%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -8.66%E -5.32%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -5.03%E -2.33%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 16:25
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -8.66%E -5.32%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -5.03%E -2.33%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 16:25
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -8.66%E -5.32%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -5.03%E -2.33%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 68.55%2.18I 45.87%NM 31.45%45.9%2026-05-16 16:49