The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Michigan Wolverines v Ohio State Buckeyes

Kickoff: 2026-05-14 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Prediction 64.56%1.55fair odd
EV -0.584%
Edge -0.379%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%64.22%64.65%65.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.471.451.5469.93%67.91%68.97%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit)

Prediction 35.44%2.82fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.62%35.78%35.35%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.612.652.7240.82%38.31%37.74%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 64.56%; Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit): 35.44%. For Michigan Wolverines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.54, with an expected value of -0.584%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -0.584%E -0.379%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -11.03%E -4.40%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -1.23%E -0.804%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -12.81%E -5.21%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 16:16
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -1.23%E -0.804%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -12.81%E -5.21%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 16:15
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -1.23%E -0.804%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -13.16%E -5.37%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 16:15
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.17%E -2.11%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 19:25
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.17%E -2.11%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.85%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 17:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%EV -5.75%E -3.94%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -5.72%E -2.15%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 19:34
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.39%E -4.41%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:20
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.39%E -4.41%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 19:25
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.39%E -4.41%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 17:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.39%E -4.41%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 19:30
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -3.59%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 19:30
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.85%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 17:40
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.69%E -5.37%K -17.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-14 17:35
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.69%E -5.37%K -17.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-14 17:35
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.69%E -5.37%K -17.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-14 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%5.9%2026-05-14 21:50