Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan Wolverines v Nebraska Cornhuskers

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Prediction 44.41%2.25fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%44.50%44.37%47.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.092.112.2051.02%47.82%47.39%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nebraska Cornhuskers (Visit)

Prediction 55.59%1.80fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.906%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.55%55.50%55.63%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.691.7761.73%58.87%59.17%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 44.41%; Nebraska Cornhuskers (Visit): 55.59%. For Nebraska Cornhuskers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -1.60%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.30%E -1.05%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.27%E -5.02%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 18:55
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.30%E -1.05%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.27%E -5.02%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 18:55
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.30%E -1.05%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.94%E -6.14%K -16.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 19:00
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.52%E -2.10%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.05%E -3.58%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 18:54
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.52%E -2.10%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.05%E -3.58%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.41%E -2.54%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.05%E -3.58%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.41%E -2.54%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.05%E -3.58%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 18:55
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.85%E -2.76%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.50%E -3.23%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 19:00
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.74%E -3.21%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.94%E -2.89%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 18:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -8.07%E -3.90%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.50%E -3.23%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 18:59
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.96%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.05%E -3.58%K -8.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 18:55
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.96%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.27%E -5.02%K -12.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-20 19:15
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15%EV -9.85%E -4.85%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -3.27%E -1.88%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 19:15
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -12.96%E -6.61%K -13.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -1.60%E -0.906%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 15:45
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -12.96%E -6.61%K -13.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -1.60%E -0.906%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 15:45
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -12.96%E -6.61%K -13.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -1.60%E -0.906%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 15:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%5.4%2026-03-20 19:05