The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Michigan Wolverines v Michigan St Spartans

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Prediction 67.42%1.48fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -3.00%
Kelly -10.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%67.45%67.44%69.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.381.401.4275.76%72.33%71.43%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michigan St Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 32.58%3.07fair odd
EV -0.640%
Edge -0.210%
Kelly -0.312%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.21%32.55%32.56%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.902.893.0536.36%34.53%34.60%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 67.42%; Michigan St Spartans (Visit): 32.58%. For Michigan St Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -0.640%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.26%E -3.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 19:58
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.26%E -3.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 20:00
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.61%E -4.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 20:00
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.61%E -4.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 19:58
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.61%E -4.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -5.61%E -4.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 20:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -5.61%E -4.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 19:59
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.61%E -4.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 20:00
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.61%E -4.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.10%EV -7.81%E -2.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 19:54
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.61%E -4.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 19:59
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.61%E -4.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.41%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 19:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.53%EV -6.96%E -5.04%K -18.31%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.47%EV -6.50%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 19:59
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -9.65%E -7.20%K -28.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 20:00
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -11.00%E -8.33%K -34.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -0.640%E -0.210%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 19:59
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -11.00%E -8.33%K -34.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -0.640%E -0.210%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 19:59
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -11.00%E -8.33%K -34.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -0.640%E -0.210%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 19:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.37I 72.99%NM 69.28%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.72%5.4%2026-03-18 19:59