The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Michigan St Spartans v Western Michigan Broncos

Kickoff: 2026-05-06 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan St Spartans (Local)

Prediction 67.17%1.49fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -5.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.06%67.12%67.57%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.391.381.4574.07%71.89%72.20%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Western Michigan Broncos (Visit)

Prediction 32.83%3.05fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.506%
Kelly -0.759%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.03%32.88%32.43%34.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.872.893.0037.04%34.81%34.60%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan St Spartans (Local): 67.17%; Western Michigan Broncos (Visit): 32.83%. For Western Michigan Broncos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -1.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.60%E -1.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.37%E -4.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 16:35
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.60%E -1.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.37%E -4.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 18:30
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -3.94%E -2.76%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -11.37%E -4.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 16:38
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 18:34
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.45%EV -6.63%E -4.77%K -17.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -5.46%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.30%E -5.29%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.52%E -0.506%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:35
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.64%E -6.36%K -24.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 12:59
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -9.32%E -6.90%K -26.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -1.52%E -0.506%K -0.759%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 17:15
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -9.32%E -6.90%K -26.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -1.52%E -0.506%K -0.759%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 17:15
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -9.32%E -6.90%K -26.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -1.52%E -0.506%K -0.759%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 17:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%4.2%2026-05-06 21:20