The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Michigan St Spartans v UCLA Bruins

Kickoff: 2026-05-01 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan St Spartans (Local)

Prediction 12.43%8.05fair odd
EV +5.63%
Edge +0.662%
Kelly +0.750%
Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.09%12.50%12.69%14.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.417.508.5016.00%13.50%13.33%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UCLA Bruins (Visit)

Prediction 87.57%1.14fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -3.34%
Kelly -36.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.03%87.50%87.31%88.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.071.071.1094.34%93.05%93.46%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan St Spartans (Local): 12.43%; UCLA Bruins (Visit): 87.57%. For Michigan St Spartans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.05. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +5.63%E +0.662%K +0.750%G +0.042%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.17%E -6.77%K -119.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 18:20
BetMGM🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.585%E -0.073%K -0.084%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.30%E -5.88%K -89.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 16:09
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.585%E -0.073%K -0.084%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.17%E -6.77%K -119.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 14:20
theScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.585%E -0.073%K -0.084%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.17%E -6.77%K -119.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.585%E -0.073%K -0.084%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.17%E -6.77%K -119.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.585%E -0.073%K -0.084%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.17%E -6.77%K -119.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 14:20
1xBet🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV -3.07%E -0.394%K -0.452%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.04%EV -7.17%E -6.77%K -119.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:19
DraftKings🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.80%E -0.906%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.55%E -4.17%K -50.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 00:05
Caesars🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.80%E -0.906%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.55%E -4.17%K -50.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 08:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.80%E -0.906%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 14:15
Bovada🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -9.91%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 00:05
MyBookie.ag🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.94%EV -10.53%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.06%EV -6.30%E -5.88%K -89.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 18:24
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -13.01%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.30%E -5.88%K -89.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 12:59
BetRivers🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -13.01%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.30%E -5.88%K -89.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:14
betPARX🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -13.01%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.30%E -5.88%K -89.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:14
Bally Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -13.01%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.30%E -5.88%K -89.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -17.98%E -2.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -3.67%E -3.34%K -36.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 13:15
BetOnline.ag🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -17.98%E -2.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -3.67%E -3.34%K -36.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 13:15
BetUS🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -22.33%E -3.57%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -3.67%E -3.34%K -36.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 13:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎8.62I 11.60%NM 11.13%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.87%4.2%2026-05-01 18:19