The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Michigan St Spartans v UCLA Bruins

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan St Spartans (Local)

Prediction 13.66%7.32fair odd
EV +6.52%
Edge +0.836%
Kelly +0.959%
Growth +0.063%

assuming max odds 7.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.06%13.77%13.57%15.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.776.957.8016.67%14.78%14.39%12.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UCLA Bruins (Visit)

Prediction 86.34%1.16fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -3.75%
Kelly -37.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.51%86.23%86.43%87.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.091.091.1193.46%91.89%91.74%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan St Spartans (Local): 13.66%; UCLA Bruins (Visit): 86.34%. For Michigan St Spartans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.32. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV +6.52%E +0.836%K +0.959%G +0.063%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -7.61%E -7.11%K -108.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 18:10
BetMGM🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.42%E +0.323%K +0.373%G +0.009%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.75%E -6.25%K -84.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 14:45
1xBet🎯7.14I 14.01%NM 13.14%EV -2.49%E -0.349%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.86%EV -6.75%E -6.25%K -84.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 19:05
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.40%E -0.629%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.57%K -50.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 03:09
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.40%E -0.629%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.75%E -6.25%K -84.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 05:15
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.40%E -0.629%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.75%E -6.25%K -84.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 05:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.40%E -0.629%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.75%E -6.25%K -84.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 05:20
LowVig.ag🎯6.95I 14.39%NM 13.56%EV -5.09%E -0.732%K -0.855%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.44%EV -5.89%E -5.40%K -65.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 12:35
BetOnline.ag🎯6.95I 14.39%NM 13.56%EV -5.09%E -0.732%K -0.855%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.44%EV -5.89%E -5.40%K -65.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 12:35
Caesars🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.82%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 08:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -7.82%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.89%E -5.40%K -65.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 18:10
BetUS🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.17%EV -9.87%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.83%EV -5.89%E -5.40%K -65.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:30
MyBookie.ag🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.17%EV -9.87%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.83%EV -5.89%E -5.40%K -65.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 18:10
theScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.06%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.02%E -4.57%K -50.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 18:10
BetRivers🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -18.06%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.89%E -5.40%K -65.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 19:00
betPARX🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -18.06%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.89%E -5.40%K -65.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 19:00
Bally Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -18.06%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.89%E -5.40%K -65.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%5.1%2026-05-02 18:50