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Michigan St Spartans v UCLA Bruins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Michigan St Spartans (Local)
assuming max odds 7.00
UCLA Bruins (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.12
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan St Spartans (Local): 14.69%; UCLA Bruins (Visit): 85.31%. For Michigan St Spartans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.85%.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +2.85%E +0.407%K +0.475%G +0.014% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.02%E -6.44%K -77.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 15:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.50%E -0.692%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.31%E -4.78%K -48.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 00:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.50%E -0.692%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.16%E -5.60%K -61.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 01:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.50%E -0.692%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.16%E -5.60%K -61.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 02:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.50%E -0.692%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.16%E -5.60%K -61.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 12:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -4.50%E -0.692%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.87%E -7.29%K -98.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 02:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.31I 15.85%NM 14.96%EV -7.29%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.04%EV -5.31%E -4.78%K -48.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.31I 15.85%NM 14.96%EV -7.29%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.04%EV -5.31%E -4.78%K -48.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 12:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -7.44%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -6.16%E -5.60%K -61.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -7.44%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -6.16%E -5.60%K -61.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.17%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 07:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -10.37%E -1.70%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -5.31%E -4.78%K -48.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 12:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.84%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.31%E -4.78%K -48.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.84%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.31%E -4.78%K -48.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 00:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.84%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.31%E -4.78%K -48.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 00:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 15:30 |