The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Michigan St Spartans v Michigan Wolverines

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan St Spartans (Local)

Prediction 35.79%2.79fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%35.85%35.89%38.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.462.592.602.7040.65%38.58%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michigan Wolverines (Visit)

Prediction 64.21%1.56fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -5.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.96%64.15%64.11%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.471.481.5169.44%67.90%67.57%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan St Spartans (Local): 35.79%; Michigan Wolverines (Visit): 64.21%. For Michigan Wolverines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.51, with an expected value of -3.05%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.36%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.90%E -4.76%K -15.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 14:59
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.36%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.90%E -4.76%K -15.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 16:09
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -4.08%E -1.52%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89%EV -6.90%E -4.76%K -15.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 16:19
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.15%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.69%E -2.46%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 15:05
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.15%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.90%E -4.76%K -15.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 15:15
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.69%E -2.46%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.97%E -3.36%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 16:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.97%E -3.36%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 16:05
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.54%E -5.24%K -17.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 21:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.05%EV -7.30%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 16:24
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.73%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.97%E -3.36%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 16:09
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.97%E -3.36%K -10.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 16:14
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.97%E -3.36%K -10.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 16:15
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.97%E -3.36%K -10.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 16:15
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -11.95%E -4.86%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.96%EV -3.05%E -2.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 16:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%5.3%2026-04-10 21:25