The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Michigan St Spartans v Clemson Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan St Spartans (Local)

Prediction 20.37%4.91fair odd
EV +0.016%
Edge +0.003%
Kelly +0.004%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.24%20.35%20.28%21.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.354.604.604.9122.99%21.73%21.74%20.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clemson Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 79.63%1.26fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -3.70%
Kelly -22.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.66%79.65%79.72%80.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.181.181.2085.47%84.61%84.75%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan St Spartans (Local): 20.37%; Clemson Tigers (Visit): 79.63%. For Michigan St Spartans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.909. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.910, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.016%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯4.91I 20.37%NM 19.24%EV +0.016%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.76%EV -6.83%E -5.84%K -40.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 20:20
LowVig.ag🎯4.91I 20.37%NM 19.24%EV +0.016%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.76%EV -6.83%E -5.84%K -40.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 20:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.24%E -0.683%K -0.865%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.04%E -5.12%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 19:25
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.24%E -0.683%K -0.865%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.04%E -5.12%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 17:39
Bovada🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.24%E -0.683%K -0.865%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.83%E -5.84%K -40.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 19:57
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -4.26%E -0.907%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.04%E -5.12%K -33.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 16:50
BetUS🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -4.26%E -0.907%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.83%E -5.84%K -40.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 20:15
FanDuel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.30%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.24%E -4.40%K -27.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 19:30
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.30%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.83%E -5.84%K -40.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 19:19
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.34%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.44%E -3.70%K -22.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.34%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.44%E -3.70%K -22.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.34%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.44%E -3.70%K -22.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:05
1xBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -10.37%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.24%E -4.40%K -27.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 22:10
BetRivers🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -11.39%E -2.62%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -6.04%E -5.12%K -33.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 16:40
Bally Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -11.39%E -2.62%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -6.04%E -5.12%K -33.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 16:39
betPARX🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -11.39%E -2.62%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -6.04%E -5.12%K -33.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.