The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Miami (OH) RedHawks v Dayton Flyers

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami (OH) RedHawks (Local)

Prediction 67.77%1.48fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -8.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.35%68.14%67.57%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.381.4276.92%73.33%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dayton Flyers (Visit)

Prediction 32.23%3.10fair odd
EV +4.75%
Edge +1.46%
Kelly +2.11%
Growth +0.100%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%31.86%32.43%33.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.972.903.2535.71%33.64%34.48%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami (OH) RedHawks (Local): 67.77%; Dayton Flyers (Visit): 32.23%. For Dayton Flyers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.10. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -11.90%E -9.15%K -39.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV +4.75%E +1.46%K +2.11%G +0.100%7.7%2026-03-18 18:20
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -11.90%E -9.15%K -39.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV +4.75%E +1.46%K +2.11%G +0.100%7.7%2026-03-18 18:20
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -11.90%E -9.15%K -39.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV +4.75%E +1.46%K +2.11%G +0.100%7.7%2026-03-18 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.48%E -4.70%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 18:20
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.12%E -3.66%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 02:00
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.12%E -3.66%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 18:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -5.80%E -4.17%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 18:25
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.84%E -5.76%K -21.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 16:40
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -9.19%E -6.86%K -27.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.77%E -2.65%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 17:15
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -4.45%E -3.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 17:57
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.