Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Hurricanes v Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Hurricanes (Local)

Prediction 59.45%1.68fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -5.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.03%59.41%59.59%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.591.591.6264.10%62.92%62.89%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit)

Prediction 40.55%2.47fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.39%40.59%40.41%41.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.312.302.4044.64%43.26%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Hurricanes (Local): 59.45%; Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit): 40.55%. For Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -2.67%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.73%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 08:23
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.76%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 16:39
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -9.16%E -4.09%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 02:55
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.29%E -2.67%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.73%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 04:20
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.29%E -2.67%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.76%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 04:18
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -4.89%E -3.05%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -9.16%E -4.09%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 20:49
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.48%E -3.45%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.70%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 20:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.48%E -3.45%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.73%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 20:36
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.26%E -4.66%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.67%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 20:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -7.26%E -4.66%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -3.08%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 20:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -7.26%E -4.66%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -3.08%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 20:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -7.26%E -4.66%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 20:45
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.26%E -4.66%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.73%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 20:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%5.4%2026-04-11 21:24