Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Hurricanes v Virginia Tech Hokies

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Hurricanes (Local)

Prediction 79.35%1.26fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -14.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.40%79.34%79.23%81.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.181.171.2286.96%84.66%85.11%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit)

Prediction 20.65%4.84fair odd
EV +5.11%
Edge +1.00%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.064%

assuming max odds 5.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.43%20.66%20.77%23.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.544.555.0925.32%22.02%21.98%19.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Hurricanes (Local): 79.35%; Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit): 20.65%. For Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.84. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.57%EV -8.75%E -7.61%K -58.32%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.43%EV +5.11%E +1.00%K +1.25%G +0.064%6.6%2026-04-03 20:25
FanDuel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.95%E -6.86%K -49.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +3.25%E +0.650%K +0.813%G +0.026%6.2%2026-04-03 15:54
theScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -8.75%E -7.61%K -58.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -0.878%E -0.183%K -0.231%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.37%E -5.40%K -35.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -1.91%E -0.402%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 17:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.16%E -6.12%K -42.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.01%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 17:10
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.95%E -6.86%K -49.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.01%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 19:15
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.95%E -6.86%K -49.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.01%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 19:15
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.95%E -6.86%K -49.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.01%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 19:19
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.57%E -4.68%K -29.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 15:04
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.57%E -4.68%K -29.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 15:50
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.37%E -5.40%K -35.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 15:46
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.16%E -6.12%K -42.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 15:50
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.19%E -2.62%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -9.14%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 18:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.20%EV -3.19%E -2.62%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.80%EV -14.71%E -3.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 20:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.20%EV -3.19%E -2.62%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.80%EV -14.71%E -3.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 20:10
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -3.19%E -2.62%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -18.43%E -4.67%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 20:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%5.5%2026-04-03 21:34