Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Hurricanes v Virginia Tech Hokies

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Hurricanes (Local)

Prediction 78.98%1.27fair odd
EV -0.488%
Edge -0.387%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.70%78.72%79.09%81.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.191.191.2687.72%83.73%84.03%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit)

Prediction 21.02%4.76fair odd
EV +3.01%
Edge +0.614%
Kelly +0.771%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.87%21.28%20.91%25.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.394.504.9027.03%22.77%22.22%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Hurricanes (Local): 78.98%; Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit): 21.02%. For Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.76. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -9.97%E -8.74%K -71.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV +3.01%E +0.614%K +0.771%G +0.023%8.1%2026-04-04 21:59
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -9.97%E -8.74%K -71.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV +3.01%E +0.614%K +0.771%G +0.023%8.1%2026-04-04 21:59
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -9.97%E -8.74%K -71.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV +3.01%E +0.614%K +0.771%G +0.023%8.1%2026-04-04 21:59
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.97%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.68%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.03%EV -1.83%E -0.391%K -0.498%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 21:59
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.02%E -5.06%K -31.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.30%E -0.717%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 21:59
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.30%E -0.717%K -0.916%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 21:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.40%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 21:59
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.02%E -5.06%K -31.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.40%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.02%E -5.06%K -31.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.40%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 21:59
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.81%E -5.77%K -37.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.40%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 22:00
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.50%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 21:59
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.81%E -5.77%K -37.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -10.66%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 22:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -2.86%E -2.32%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -18.01%E -4.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 21:58
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -0.488%E -0.387%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -21.80%E -5.86%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 21:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -0.488%E -0.387%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -21.80%E -5.86%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 21:59
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -1.28%E -1.02%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -22.22%E -6.00%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 21:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 80.07%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.93%5.0%2026-04-04 21:59