Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Hurricanes v Stanford Cardinal

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Hurricanes (Local)

Prediction 70.02%1.43fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -8.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%70.00%69.80%71.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.351.3876.92%74.63%74.07%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stanford Cardinal (Visit)

Prediction 29.98%3.34fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -0.789%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.88%30.00%30.20%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.993.123.123.2533.44%32.01%32.05%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Hurricanes (Local): 70.02%; Stanford Cardinal (Visit): 29.98%. For Stanford Cardinal (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -2.56%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 09:18
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.51%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 00:40
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.77%E -3.51%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 13:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.77%E -3.51%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 13:59
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.56%E -0.789%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -6.46%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 14:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -6.46%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 14:10
BetUS🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.18%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%EV -9.16%E -3.02%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 14:10
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.17%E -4.61%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.06%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 14:49
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.17%E -4.61%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 13:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.05%EV -6.17%E -4.61%K -18.16%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.95%EV -10.36%E -3.46%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 14:08
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.57%E -5.74%K -23.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.56%E -0.789%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-20 16:20
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.97%E -6.90%K -29.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.06%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 15:20
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.97%E -6.90%K -29.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.06%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 15:20
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.97%E -6.90%K -29.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.06%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 76.30%3.22I 31.06%NM 23.70%31.1%2026-05-20 14:49