The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Miami Hurricanes v Louisville Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-05-07 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Hurricanes (Local)

Prediction 63.36%1.58fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -5.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.54%63.33%63.40%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.491.501.5368.97%67.20%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisville Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 36.64%2.73fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.394%
Kelly -0.625%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%36.67%36.60%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.542.7041.67%39.37%39.45%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Hurricanes (Local): 63.36%; Louisville Cardinals (Visit): 36.64%. For Louisville Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -1.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 17:04
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.90%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 22:31
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 22:40
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.93%E -2.73%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 16:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -7.29%E -2.88%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -7.29%E -2.88%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 22:35
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 16:40
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 22:34
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.59%EV -8.76%E -3.52%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 21:20
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.06%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 13:20
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%EV -5.46%E -2.12%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 16:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.84%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -7.66%E -3.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 22:59
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.13%E -5.61%K -18.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.06%E -0.394%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 21:14
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.13%E -5.61%K -18.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 19:39
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.13%E -5.61%K -18.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 19:35
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.13%E -5.61%K -18.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 19:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-05-07 22:25