Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Hurricanes v Lafayette Leopards

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

84%

16%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Hurricanes (Local)

Prediction 84.27%1.19fair odd

EV -5.62%

Edge -5.01%

Kelly -46.80%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

83.21%84.27%84.39%85.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.081.111.111.1292.59%90.32%90.09%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lafayette Leopards (Visit)

Prediction 15.73%6.36fair odd

EV +0.661%

Edge +0.103%

Kelly +0.122%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 6.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

14.78%15.73%15.61%16.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.505.916.006.4018.18%16.91%16.67%15.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Hurricanes (Local): 84.27%; Lafayette Leopards (Visit): 15.73%. For Lafayette Leopards (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.36. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.661%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.46%E -5.82%K -58.71%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +0.661%E +0.103%K +0.122%G +0.001%	5.7%	2026-02-22 16:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.62%E -5.01%K -46.80%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.63%E -0.938%K -1.13%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-22 16:44
888sport🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.46%E -5.82%K -58.71%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.63%E -0.938%K -1.13%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-02-22 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.46%E -5.82%K -58.71%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.63%E -0.938%K -1.13%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-02-22 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.46%E -5.82%K -58.71%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.63%E -0.938%K -1.13%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-02-22 16:44
Betway🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.46%E -5.82%K -58.71%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.49%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-02-22 16:45
1xBet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 83.59%EV -8.99%E -8.32%K -112.33%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -13.49%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-02-22 16:44

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.