Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Hurricanes v Creighton Bluejays

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Hurricanes (Local)

Prediction 72.86%1.37fair odd
EV -4.55%
Edge -3.47%
Kelly -14.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.59%72.72%73.07%73.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.291.291.3179.37%77.73%77.52%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Creighton Bluejays (Visit)

Prediction 27.14%3.68fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -0.640%
Kelly -0.886%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.08%27.28%26.93%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.463.503.6030.77%28.94%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Hurricanes (Local): 72.86%; Creighton Bluejays (Visit): 27.14%. For Creighton Bluejays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -2.30%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 12:05
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 14:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -4.75%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 12:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -4.75%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 12:29
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:14
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:09
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 14:55
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 12:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 15:04
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 15:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.00%EV -6.74%E -5.26%K -24.06%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.00%EV -6.10%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 16:19
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.46%E -5.88%K -27.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -2.30%E -0.640%K -0.886%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 15:00
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.46%E -5.88%K -27.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 16:54
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -8.19%E -6.50%K -31.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.09%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 15:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%5.0%2026-03-22 16:44