Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Hurricanes v Boston College Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Hurricanes (Local)

Prediction 78.64%1.27fair odd
EV -5.63%
Edge -4.69%
Kelly -28.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.78%78.67%78.57%79.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.191.201.2084.75%83.68%83.33%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston College Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 21.36%4.68fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.381%
Kelly -0.487%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.55%21.33%21.43%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.374.404.6023.81%22.88%22.73%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Hurricanes (Local): 78.64%; Boston College Eagles (Visit): 21.36%. For Boston College Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.60, with an expected value of -1.75%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.89%E -0.864%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.89%E -0.864%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 13:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.89%E -0.864%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 13:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.89%E -0.864%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 17:10
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 03:59
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 04:33
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:34
1xBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.06%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 21.94%EV -8.80%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 17:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.30%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 13:54
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.30%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 20:15
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.42%E -5.39%K -33.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.75%E -0.381%K -0.487%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 19:55
Bovada🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.42%E -5.39%K -33.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 05:06
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.42%E -5.39%K -33.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -9.23%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:54
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.42%E -5.39%K -33.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -9.23%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:54
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.42%E -5.39%K -33.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -9.23%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:54
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.20%E -6.10%K -40.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 07:29
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.20%E -6.10%K -40.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.23%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 14:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 79.86%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.14%5.2%2026-03-07 22:07