The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Mercer Bears v The Citadel Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mercer Bears (Local)

Prediction 63.21%1.58fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -3.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.54%63.40%63.45%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.481.451.5569.93%67.73%68.97%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

The Citadel Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 36.79%2.72fair odd
EV +1.16%
Edge +0.423%
Kelly +0.665%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.21%36.60%36.55%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.522.502.7541.15%39.61%40.00%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mercer Bears (Local): 63.21%; The Citadel Bulldogs (Visit): 36.79%. For The Citadel Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -9.60%E -6.72%K -22.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +1.16%E +0.423%K +0.665%G +0.008%6.3%2026-05-22 13:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.52%E -0.949%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-22 13:10
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.35%E -1.67%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 13:10
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.19%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 13:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.03%E -3.21%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 13:10
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.03%E -3.21%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-22 13:10
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.02%E -1.30%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -8.77%E -3.54%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 12:00
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.28%E -2.15%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.87%E -4.03%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 10:20
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -5.18%E -3.45%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -10.61%E -4.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 11:10
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -5.18%E -3.45%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -10.61%E -4.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 11:10
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -5.18%E -3.45%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -10.61%E -4.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 11:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 71.83%2.55I 39.22%NM 28.17%39.2%2026-05-22 12:59