The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Memphis Tigers v UTSA Roadrunners

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Memphis Tigers (Local)

Prediction 22.16%4.51fair odd
EV -4.71%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.82%22.16%22.16%22.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.114.214.204.3024.33%23.74%23.81%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UTSA Roadrunners (Visit)

Prediction 77.84%1.28fair odd
EV -5.82%
Edge -4.81%
Kelly -27.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.26%77.84%77.84%78.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.201.201.2184.03%83.33%83.33%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Memphis Tigers (Local): 22.16%; UTSA Roadrunners (Visit): 77.84%. For Memphis Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.30, with an expected value of -4.71%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.71%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.59%E -5.49%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 21:07
DraftKings🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.82%E -4.81%K -27.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 23:45
BetMGM🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.82%E -4.81%K -27.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 00:05
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.92%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.59%E -5.49%K -32.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 03:59
MyBookie.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.92%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.59%E -5.49%K -32.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 17:13
BetRivers🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -6.92%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.37%E -6.19%K -38.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 14:19
betPARX🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -6.92%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.37%E -6.19%K -38.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 14:19
Bally Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -6.92%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.37%E -6.19%K -38.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 14:20
1xBet🎯4.11I 24.33%NM 22.74%EV -8.92%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.26%EV -5.82%E -4.81%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 22:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎4.33I 23.09%NM 20.26%1.10I 90.91%NM 79.74%14.0%2026-05-08 22:54