The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Memphis Tigers v UTSA Roadrunners

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Memphis Tigers (Local)

Prediction 22.99%4.35fair odd
EV +3.44%
Edge +0.766%
Kelly +0.984%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.05%22.77%23.08%23.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.074.034.5025.64%24.59%24.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UTSA Roadrunners (Visit)

Prediction 77.01%1.30fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -3.63%
Kelly -18.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.17%77.23%76.92%78.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.211.211.2483.33%82.37%82.30%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Memphis Tigers (Local): 22.99%; UTSA Roadrunners (Visit): 77.01%. For Memphis Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.35. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +3.44%E +0.766%K +0.984%G +0.034%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.59%E -6.32%K -37.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 05:44
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.59%E -6.32%K -37.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 15:05
Bovada🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.05%E -4.95%K -27.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 16:13
MyBookie.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.82%E -5.63%K -32.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 15:15
1xBet🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 22.96%EV -6.67%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.04%EV -6.82%E -5.63%K -32.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 15:09
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.50%E -3.63%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 15:04
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.59%E -6.32%K -37.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 11:54
BetRivers🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.05%E -4.95%K -27.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 16:44
Bally Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.05%E -4.95%K -27.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 16:44
betPARX🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.05%E -4.95%K -27.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 16:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎4.03I 24.81%NM 24.25%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.75%2.3%2026-05-10 16:54