Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

McNeese Cowboys v Northwestern St Demons

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

58%

42%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

McNeese Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 58.43%1.71fair odd

EV +4.00%

Edge +2.25%

Kelly +5.13%

Growth +0.205%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.41%58.43%58.43%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.611.661.621.7862.11%60.17%61.73%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northwestern St Demons (Visit)

Prediction 41.57%2.41fair odd

EV -4.38%

Edge -1.91%

Kelly -3.37%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

41.18%41.57%41.57%47.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.962.162.202.3051.02%46.25%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: McNeese Cowboys (Local): 58.43%; Northwestern St Demons (Visit): 41.57%. For McNeese Cowboys (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV +4.00%E +2.25%K +5.13%G +0.205%	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -18.52%E -9.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-08 22:09
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -1.84%E -1.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -12.28%E -5.82%K -11.06%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-08 17:05
DraftKings🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.88%E -3.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-08 16:45
Bovada🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.54%E -3.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-08 16:49
theScore Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.93%E -3.68%K -9.72%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.38%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-08 16:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.