The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Maryland Terrapins v Virginia Cavaliers

Kickoff: 2026-03-24 21:43 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maryland Terrapins (Local)

Prediction 27.36%3.66fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.329%
Kelly +0.451%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%27.51%27.60%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.373.403.7032.79%29.69%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virginia Cavaliers (Visit)

Prediction 72.64%1.38fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -3.11%
Kelly -12.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.79%72.49%72.40%74.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.301.291.3278.74%77.17%77.52%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maryland Terrapins (Local): 27.36%; Virginia Cavaliers (Visit): 72.64%. For Maryland Terrapins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.22%E +0.329%K +0.451%G +0.006%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.29%E -4.88%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-24 21:34
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.52%E -0.421%K -0.583%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.29%E -4.88%K -21.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 21:34
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.29%E -4.88%K -21.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 21:29
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.29%E -4.88%K -21.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 21:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.29%E -4.88%K -21.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 21:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.29%E -4.88%K -21.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 21:29
1xBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.74%E -6.10%K -28.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-24 21:33
LowVig.ag🎯3.41I 29.33%NM 27.60%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.40%EV -5.56%E -4.28%K -18.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 21:31
BetOnline.ag🎯3.41I 29.33%NM 27.60%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.40%EV -5.56%E -4.28%K -18.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 21:30
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.56%E -4.28%K -18.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 21:40
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.56%E -4.28%K -18.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 21:34
MyBookie.ag🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -9.18%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -5.56%E -4.28%K -18.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 21:36
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.56%E -4.28%K -18.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-24 21:30
Fliff🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.74%E -6.10%K -28.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 21:35
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.29%E -4.88%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-24 21:34
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.29%E -4.88%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-24 21:35
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -16.56%E -5.43%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -4.11%E -3.11%K -12.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 21:34
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -16.56%E -5.43%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -4.11%E -3.11%K -12.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 21:34
Bally Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -16.56%E -5.43%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -4.11%E -3.11%K -12.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 21:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%4.9%2026-03-24 21:35