Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maryland Terrapins v USC Trojans

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maryland Terrapins (Local)

Prediction 25.45%3.93fair odd
EV +6.13%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +1.93%
Growth +0.118%

assuming max odds 4.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.49%25.45%25.30%27.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.733.724.1729.41%26.79%26.88%23.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

USC Trojans (Visit)

Prediction 74.55%1.34fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -10.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.34%74.55%74.70%77.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.251.261.3082.64%79.87%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maryland Terrapins (Local): 25.45%; USC Trojans (Visit): 74.55%. For Maryland Terrapins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.93. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV +6.13%E +1.47%K +1.93%G +0.118%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -9.79%E -8.09%K -46.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 21:50
Bovada🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV +5.62%E +1.35%K +1.78%G +0.100%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -9.79%E -8.09%K -46.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 16:28
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +1.80%E +0.450%K +0.600%G +0.011%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 14:39
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -0.745%E -0.191%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 16:29
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.29%E -0.866%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.07%E -4.81%K -23.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 16:29
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.56%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.56%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.56%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -5.33%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -6.07%E -4.81%K -23.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -5.33%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -6.07%E -4.81%K -23.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 16:50
Caesars🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.84%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.83%E -2.97%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 18:29
Fliff🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -5.84%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -9.05%E -7.42%K -41.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 20:20
BetUS🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.11%E -1.95%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.07%E -4.81%K -23.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 16:30
MyBookie.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.07%E -4.81%K -23.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 20:49
BetRivers🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.65%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.07%E -4.81%K -23.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 19:20
betPARX🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.65%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.07%E -4.81%K -23.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 19:20
Bally Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.65%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.07%E -4.81%K -23.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 19:20
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-27 19:20
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.47%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.08%E -2.37%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig4.03I 24.81%NM 23.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.47%5.5%2026-03-27 21:14