Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maryland Terrapins v Purdue Boilermakers

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

54%

46%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maryland Terrapins (Local)

Prediction 54.20%1.84fair odd

EV -4.06%

Edge -2.30%

Kelly -5.28%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.85%54.31%54.09%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.651.721.711.7760.61%58.23%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Purdue Boilermakers (Visit)

Prediction 45.80%2.18fair odd

EV -1.53%

Edge -0.713%

Kelly -1.33%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.72%45.69%45.91%47.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.952.052.052.1551.28%48.75%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maryland Terrapins (Local): 54.20%; Purdue Boilermakers (Visit): 45.80%. For Purdue Boilermakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -1.53%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.06%E -2.30%K -5.28%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-14 13:44
theScore Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.06%E -2.30%K -5.28%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-14 18:00
Bovada🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.06%E -2.30%K -5.28%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-14 13:50
BetUS🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.06%E -2.30%K -5.28%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-14 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.69%E -3.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-14 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.69%E -3.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-14 15:50
Betway🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -5.69%E -3.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -10.69%E -5.48%K -11.26%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-03-14 17:59
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.32%E -4.28%K -10.30%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -5.65%E -2.75%K -5.33%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-14 17:49
FanDuel🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.86%E -4.62%K -11.23%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -2.91%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-14 18:00
1xBet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.40%E -4.97%K -12.17%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-14 08:54
BetRivers🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -8.94%E -5.32%K -13.15%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-14 17:55
betPARX🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -8.94%E -5.32%K -13.15%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-14 17:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -8.94%E -5.32%K -13.15%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-14 17:55
BetMGM🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.48%E -5.68%K -14.15%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.53%E -0.713%K -1.33%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-14 03:40
Fliff🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -10.57%E -6.40%K -16.26%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-03-14 15:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%	5.0%	2026-03-14 18:00