The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Maryland Terrapins v Penn State Nittany Lions

Kickoff: 2026-05-15 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maryland Terrapins (Local)

Prediction 71.66%1.40fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -7.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.11%71.66%71.51%73.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.311.311.3677.52%76.12%76.34%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit)

Prediction 28.34%3.53fair odd
EV -0.801%
Edge -0.229%
Kelly -0.320%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%28.34%28.49%29.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.123.293.253.5032.05%30.38%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maryland Terrapins (Local): 71.66%; Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit): 28.34%. For Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -0.801%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.55%E -1.87%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 15:59
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -4.70%E -3.53%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -4.20%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 11:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -4.70%E -3.53%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -8.74%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -4.70%E -3.53%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -8.74%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 16:00
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -4.70%E -3.53%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -11.57%E -3.71%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 16:00
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.41%E -4.10%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 04:08
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.13%E -4.68%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 06:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.07%EV -6.13%E -4.68%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.93%EV -4.20%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 17:00
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.13%E -4.68%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 05:43
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -6.13%E -4.68%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 16:55
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.85%E -5.27%K -22.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.85%E -5.27%K -22.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 16:55
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.85%E -5.27%K -22.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 16:55
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.85%E -5.27%K -22.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.56%E -5.86%K -26.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.801%E -0.229%K -0.320%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 16:55
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.56%E -5.86%K -26.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 18:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%8.3%2026-05-15 21:40