The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Maryland Terrapins v Penn State Nittany Lions

Kickoff: 2026-05-14 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maryland Terrapins (Local)

Prediction 71.27%1.40fair odd
EV -5.21%
Edge -3.92%
Kelly -15.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.11%71.44%71.27%73.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.321.321.3377.52%75.97%75.76%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit)

Prediction 28.73%3.48fair odd
EV +1.99%
Edge +0.560%
Kelly +0.780%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.65%28.56%28.73%29.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.123.283.243.5532.05%30.52%30.91%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maryland Terrapins (Local): 71.27%; Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit): 28.73%. For Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.99%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.06%E -6.25%K -27.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +1.99%E +0.560%K +0.780%G +0.015%5.7%2026-05-14 19:15
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -6.64%E -5.06%K -21.40%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV +1.70%E +0.480%K +0.670%G +0.011%4.6%2026-05-14 21:45
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.21%E -3.92%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 18:55
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.35%E -5.65%K -24.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 22:38
MyBookie.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.71%EV -6.64%E -5.06%K -21.40%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.29%EV -4.62%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 19:20
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.92%E -4.49%K -18.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 21:15
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.64%E -5.06%K -21.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 19:15
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.21%E -3.92%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -5.21%E -3.92%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -7.49%E -2.33%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -5.21%E -3.92%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -7.49%E -2.33%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 17:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -6.64%E -5.06%K -21.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 16:05
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.35%E -5.65%K -24.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 19:15
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.92%E -4.49%K -18.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.50%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 19:15
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.92%E -4.49%K -18.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.50%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 19:10
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.92%E -4.49%K -18.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.50%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 19:15
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -5.21%E -3.92%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -10.37%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 17:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.25I 80.00%NM 72.53%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%10.3%2026-05-14 21:45