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Maryland Terrapins v Penn State Nittany Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maryland Terrapins (Local)
assuming max odds 1.38
Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit)
assuming max odds 3.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maryland Terrapins (Local): 69.90%; Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit): 30.10%. For Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -0.670%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.54%E -2.56%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 06:38 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -4.24%E -3.09%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -9.10%E -3.01%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 12:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -4.24%E -3.09%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -9.10%E -3.01%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 12:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.24%E -3.09%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 04:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -4.24%E -3.09%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -11.21%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 13:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.98%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 12:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%EV -6.33%E -4.73%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 16:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.03%E -5.29%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 14:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.03%E -5.29%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.73%E -5.86%K -24.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -0.670%E -0.203%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.73%E -5.86%K -24.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.18%E -0.669%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.13%E -7.02%K -30.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.68%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.13%E -7.02%K -30.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.68%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.13%E -7.02%K -30.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.68%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.