The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Maryland Terrapins v Michigan Wolverines

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maryland Terrapins (Local)

Prediction 44.53%2.25fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -3.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%44.50%44.56%46.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.032.112.102.1549.26%47.32%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michigan Wolverines (Visit)

Prediction 55.47%1.80fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -4.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.85%55.50%55.44%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.691.691.7459.88%59.09%59.17%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maryland Terrapins (Local): 44.53%; Michigan Wolverines (Visit): 55.47%. For Michigan Wolverines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.74, with an expected value of -3.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.26%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.26%E -3.70%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 14:05
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.26%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.37%E -4.41%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 16:23
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -4.70%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -6.26%E -3.70%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 16:20
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.70%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.81%E -4.06%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.15%E -2.42%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.70%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.15%E -2.42%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.70%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 14:04
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.15%E -3.01%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 14:50
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.15%E -3.01%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 15:00
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.15%E -3.01%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.81%E -4.06%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:25
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.37%E -4.41%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 16:55
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.37%E -4.41%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 16:55
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15%EV -9.60%E -4.73%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -3.49%E -2.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-05-03 16:20