The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Maryland Terrapins v Michigan Wolverines

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maryland Terrapins (Local)

Prediction 47.68%2.10fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -4.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%47.70%47.84%48.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.951.952.0052.36%51.23%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michigan Wolverines (Visit)

Prediction 52.32%1.91fair odd
EV -5.83%
Edge -3.24%
Kelly -7.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.48%52.30%52.16%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.791.801.8056.50%55.91%55.56%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maryland Terrapins (Local): 47.68%; Michigan Wolverines (Visit): 52.32%. For Maryland Terrapins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -4.64%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 17:40
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 07:50
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 15:15
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 03:09
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 17:50
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 05:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 12:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 12:30
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.35%E -3.55%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:09
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:25
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:25
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:25
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%5.2%2026-05-02 17:35