The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Marshall Thundering Herd v Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marshall Thundering Herd (Local)

Prediction 19.70%5.08fair odd
EV +8.33%
Edge +1.51%
Kelly +1.85%
Growth +0.154%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%19.51%19.33%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.764.675.5023.81%20.99%21.39%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Visit)

Prediction 80.30%1.25fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -3.03%
Kelly -18.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.78%80.49%80.67%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.171.171.2088.50%85.65%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marshall Thundering Herd (Local): 19.70%; Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Visit): 80.30%. For Marshall Thundering Herd (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.08. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +8.33%E +1.51%K +1.85%G +0.154%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.45%E -7.41%K -60.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 16:19
Bovada🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV +6.36%E +1.18%K +1.44%G +0.092%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -9.26%E -8.19%K -71.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 16:23
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.52%E -0.304%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.04%E -5.17%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 21:05
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.52%E -0.304%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.04%E -5.17%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 21:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.52%E -0.304%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.04%E -5.17%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 21:05
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -3.49%E -0.713%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.04%E -5.17%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:10
theScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.65%E -6.65%K -51.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 15:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.45%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 16:02
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.04%E -5.17%K -35.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 15:50
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.04%E -5.17%K -35.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 15:49
Bally Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.04%E -5.17%K -35.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 15:50
1xBet🎯4.59I 21.79%NM 20.31%EV -9.60%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.69%EV -6.04%E -5.17%K -35.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 21:10
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.44%E -3.73%K -23.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 23:59
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.04%E -5.17%K -35.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 16:55
Fliff🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -15.31%E -3.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -6.85%E -5.90%K -42.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 21:10
MyBookie.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -17.28%E -4.11%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.63%E -3.03%K -18.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 21:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎5.49I 18.21%NM 17.32%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.68%5.2%2026-03-27 21:10