Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.31
assuming max odds 3.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LSU Tigers (Local): 73.40%; Tulane Green Wave (Visit): 26.60%. For Tulane Green Wave (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -9.72%E -7.90%K -42.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV +1.08%E +0.284%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -9.72%E -7.90%K -42.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV +1.08%E +0.284%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -9.72%E -7.90%K -42.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV +1.08%E +0.284%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 20:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.65%EV -8.25%E -6.60%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -2.11%E -0.574%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.31%E -4.12%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 20:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.31%E -4.12%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 19:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.78%E -5.34%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 13:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.78%E -5.34%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 11:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -5.31%E -4.12%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV -5.84%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -5.31%E -4.12%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV -5.84%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 15:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.85%E -2.94%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 13:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.31%E -4.12%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 23:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.00%EV -6.05%E -4.72%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.00%EV -7.96%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.31%E -4.12%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 17:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.31%E -4.12%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 15:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.31%E -4.12%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.55%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-05 19:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |