Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers v Texas A&M Aggies

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 23:08 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers (Local)

Prediction 48.64%2.06fair odd
EV +1.65%
Edge +0.790%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.00%48.81%48.52%53.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.911.922.0957.47%52.23%52.08%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas A&M Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 51.36%1.95fair odd
EV +3.75%
Edge +1.86%
Kelly +3.68%
Growth +0.138%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.84%51.19%51.48%55.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.831.802.0258.48%54.67%55.56%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LSU Tigers (Local): 48.64%; Texas A&M Aggies (Visit): 51.36%. For Texas A&M Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -13.43%E -7.54%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV +3.75%E +1.86%K +3.68%G +0.138%5.7%2026-04-17 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -14.89%E -8.51%K -19.85%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV +1.19%E +0.602%K +1.22%G +0.014%7.9%2026-04-17 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -15.37%E -8.83%K -20.77%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV +1.19%E +0.602%K +1.22%G +0.014%8.2%2026-04-17 23:05
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -12.45%E -6.92%K -15.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.90%E -0.993%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 23:05
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.05%E -4.84%K -10.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.11%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 23:04
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.02%E -5.42%K -11.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.98%E -2.69%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.67%E -2.38%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.52%E -3.58%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.13%E -3.18%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.03%E -3.89%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 22:59
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.55%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 22:59
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.55%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 22:57
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.55%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.55%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 22:59
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -5.64%E -2.91%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -7.55%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 22:59
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.55%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 22:59
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.55%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.55%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.55%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 22:59
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -0.295%E -0.144%K -0.281%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -10.63%E -6.11%K -14.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV +1.65%E +0.790%K +1.51%G +0.025%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -12.17%E -7.12%K -17.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV +1.65%E +0.790%K +1.51%G +0.025%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -12.17%E -7.12%K -17.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 22:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%4.8%2026-04-17 22:59