Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers v South Carolina Gamecocks

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers (Local)

Prediction 69.71%1.43fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -10.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.29%69.87%69.20%71.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.361.3876.92%74.39%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Carolina Gamecocks (Visit)

Prediction 30.29%3.30fair odd
EV +1.47%
Edge +0.440%
Kelly +0.627%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.11%30.13%30.80%31.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.093.063.3533.90%32.32%32.68%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LSU Tigers (Local): 69.71%; South Carolina Gamecocks (Visit): 30.29%. For South Carolina Gamecocks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -8.68%E -6.63%K -28.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV +1.47%E +0.440%K +0.627%G +0.009%6.2%2026-05-03 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.07%E -0.960%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:59
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.07%E -0.960%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 19:00
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.07%E -0.960%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 19:00
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.07%E -0.960%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 19:00
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.80%E -2.75%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 18:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.59%E -4.92%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -4.50%E -3.28%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -8.52%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -4.50%E -3.28%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -8.52%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 18:58
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.50%E -3.28%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.20%E -3.82%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 18:59
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.20%E -3.82%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 18:57
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -5.20%E -3.82%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -9.73%E -3.27%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:59
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -4.50%E -3.28%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.64%E -3.61%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 70.78%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%4.7%2026-05-03 19:00