Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers v Oklahoma Sooners

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers (Local)

Prediction 56.22%1.78fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%56.33%56.28%59.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.651.641.7464.10%60.64%61.16%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)

Prediction 43.78%2.28fair odd
EV -0.181%
Edge -0.080%
Kelly -0.142%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.94%43.67%43.72%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.172.2848.78%46.32%45.98%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LSU Tigers (Local): 56.22%; Oklahoma Sooners (Visit): 43.78%. For Oklahoma Sooners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.284. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.280, with an expected value of -0.181%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.18%E -1.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.25%E -5.00%K -9.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 22:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.18%E -1.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.25%E -5.00%K -9.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 22:44
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.18%E -1.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.25%E -5.00%K -9.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 23:59
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.18%E -1.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.25%E -5.00%K -9.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 22:44
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.86%E -2.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 17:19
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -4.99%E -2.95%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -10.25%E -5.00%K -9.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 23:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 23:44
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.87%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 17:15
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.24%E -4.39%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.68%E -1.67%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 21:45
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.24%E -4.39%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.87%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 19:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.49%E -0.664%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 21:49
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-19 19:50
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -9.49%E -5.89%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -0.181%E -0.080%K -0.142%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 23:09
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.49%E -5.89%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -1.49%E -0.664%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 21:53
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.49%E -5.89%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.68%E -1.67%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 19:09
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.49%E -5.89%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.68%E -1.67%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.49%E -5.89%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.68%E -1.67%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 19:09
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -12.30%E -7.88%K -21.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -1.49%E -0.664%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 18:40
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -12.30%E -7.88%K -21.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -1.49%E -0.664%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 18:39
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -12.30%E -7.88%K -21.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -1.49%E -0.664%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%4.8%2026-03-19 22:04