Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers v Oklahoma Sooners

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers (Local)

Prediction 57.47%1.74fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.00%57.30%57.46%58.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.641.631.7162.50%60.89%61.35%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)

Prediction 42.53%2.35fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.953%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.03%42.70%42.54%45.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.182.202.3047.85%45.79%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LSU Tigers (Local): 57.47%; Oklahoma Sooners (Visit): 42.53%. For LSU Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.71, with an expected value of -1.72%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -1.72%E -1.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.70%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 14:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -1.72%E -1.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -11.12%E -5.32%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -1.72%E -1.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -11.12%E -5.32%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:19
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:19
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.57%E -3.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 15:44
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -4.59%E -2.77%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -9.00%E -4.20%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.17%E -3.13%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -5.74%E -3.50%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -7.29%E -3.35%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 17:43
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.32%E -3.88%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:24
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.89%E -4.25%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.32%E -1.92%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 17:40
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.89%E -4.25%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.57%E -3.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 17:14
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -6.89%E -4.25%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.70%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 17:20
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.47%E -4.64%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.32%E -1.92%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 18:12
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.04%E -5.03%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.19%E -0.953%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:12
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -8.04%E -5.03%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -5.17%E -2.32%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 17:20
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -8.04%E -5.03%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -5.17%E -2.32%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 17:19
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -8.04%E -5.03%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -5.17%E -2.32%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 17:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%5.4%2026-03-21 18:14